Lusitano VRSA vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
LUS
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 2
ANA
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 0
LUS
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
LUS
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
CES
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 2
EST
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 1
ESP
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 3
ANA
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |