Lusitano VRSA vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
LUS
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 2
LUS
59%
22%
18%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
COV
1 - 2
ALM
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
TOR
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 0
COV
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
LOU
55%
24%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SAC
3 - 1
COV
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |