Lusitano VRSA vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 1
CES
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GRI
4 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BUS
5 - 0
LUS
28%
25%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CIN
0 - 0
EST
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 0
CIN
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 0
ESP
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 4
LUS
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CES
2 - 2
CIN
32%
26%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |