Lusitano VRSA vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GRI
4 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BUS
5 - 0
LUS
28%
25%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -3 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
ESP
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
LUS
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CES
2 - 1
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 1
CES
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CES
2 - 2
CIN
32%
26%
41%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
LUS
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
CES
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |