Lusitano VRSA vs Atlético Reguengos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 1
LUS
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCB
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCB
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
ALM
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
LOU
32%
28%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 0
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
FCC
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
COV
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |