Lusitano VRSA vs Atlético Reguengos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
LUS
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 0
LUS
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
ALJ
67%
18%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OPE
4 - 0
LUS
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 2
LUS
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
QUA
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
ATL
65%
20%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOU
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
FER
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PRA
3 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |