Lusitano VRSA vs Atlético Reguengos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
LUS
21%
25%
55%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 1
LAG
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
LUS
14%
22%
65%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MOU
0 - 0
LUS
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
SES
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 2
ATL
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALJ
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 3
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |