Lusitano VRSA vs Almancilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 1
LUS
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
ATL
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 1
LUS
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCB
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
LOU
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALM
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
4 - 4
PIN
38%
24%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 0
ALM
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
JUV
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |