Lusitano FCV vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
CES
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BUS
3 - 1
LUS
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
LUS
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
OFR
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
LUS
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
LUS
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CES
2 - 2
GAF
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
GAF
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 0
BUS
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
MOR
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |