Lusitano FCV vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
RDA
1 - 0
LUS
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LUS
1 - 1
ANA
14%
20%
66%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ESA
2 - 0
LUS
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LUS
1 - 2
SAO
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LUS
0 - 0
ADM
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 0
LUS
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ESP
0 - 3
CAN
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAN
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAN
4 - 0
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 0
FCF
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | -2 |