Lusitano FCV vs Vila Cortez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
LUS
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
LUS
20%
24%
57%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 1
RDA
35%
26%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
LUS
74%
17%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
1 - 3
LUS
14%
19%
67%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
CAS
9%
17%
74%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 4
LUS
8%
16%
76%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
VCO
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
1 - 3
LUS
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |