Lusitano FCV vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
LUS
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 0
LUS
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
3 - 0
ADO
35%
25%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
PAM
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
GAF
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 3
AMA
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 4
AMA
8%
15%
77%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |