Lusitânia vs SC Covilha analysis

Lusitânia SC Covilha
49 ELO 49
-9.2% Tilt -4.5%
5198º General ELO ranking 4794º
99º Country ELO ranking 83º
ELO win probability
36%
Lusitânia
26.5%
Draw
37.5%
SC Covilha

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
Lusitânia
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.5%
Win probability
SC Covilha
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lusitânia
-34%
-19%
SC Covilha

Points and table prediction

Lusitânia
Their league position
SC Covilha
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
14
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
União Santarém
28
21
100%
AD Sanjoanense
23
21
100%
Académica
27
18
100%
Sporting Braga II
27
18
100%
Trofense
21
13
100%
Anadia
16
12
0%
Lusitânia
10º
13
12
0%
Caldas
18
12
0%
São João Ver
18
12
0%
Oliveira Hospital
11º
12
9
10º
0%
SC Covilha
14
9
11º
0%
Vilaverdense FC
12º
7
7
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lusitânia
SC Covilha
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lusitânia
SC Covilha
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lusitânia
Lusitânia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2025
LUS
Lusitânia
0 - 1
Académica
ACA
22%
25%
53%
47 57 10 0
02 Mar. 2025
CAL
Caldas
2 - 1
Lusitânia
LUS
49%
25%
27%
48 50 2 -1
16 Feb. 2025
OLI
Oliveira Hospital
1 - 1
Lusitânia
LUS
42%
25%
33%
48 46 2 0
25 Jan. 2025
LUS
Lusitânia
2 - 2
Sporting CP II
SCP
28%
26%
46%
47 53 6 +1
22 Jan. 2025
LUS
Lusitânia
0 - 0
Oliveira Hospital
OLI
47%
25%
28%
47 46 1 0

Matches

SC Covilha
SC Covilha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2025
SPC
SC Covilha
0 - 1
União Santarém
USA
40%
26%
35%
51 54 3 0
01 Mar. 2025
ACA
Académica
2 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
54%
25%
21%
52 56 4 -1
23 Feb. 2025
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 1
Oliveira Hospital
OLI
64%
20%
16%
51 46 5 +1
15 Feb. 2025
CAL
Caldas
0 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
42%
26%
32%
51 49 2 0
08 Feb. 2025
SPC
SC Covilha
2 - 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
DTB
10%
17%
73%
50 77 27 +1