Lusitania FC U19 vs Vila Real U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
PEN
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PAD
0 - 2
LUS
38%
21%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
LUS
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
VIZ
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BOA
4 - 0
LUS
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GON
1 - 2
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
LEX
13%
17%
71%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
AMA
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +3 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TRF
2 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
VIL
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |