Lusitania FC U19 vs Valadares Gaia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
6º
2º
27
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
LUS
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 1
PAD
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 0
LUS
18%
19%
63%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 1
FEI
62%
19%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LAM
1 - 1
LUS
7%
13%
81%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
VAL
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 2
PEN
75%
15%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 2
VAL
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 2
ESP
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FEI
1 - 1
VAL
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |