Lurgan Celtic vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MOY
0 - 5
LCE
23%
22%
55%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LCE
0 - 0
ARC
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
4 - 0
LCE
73%
16%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CCF
1 - 0
LCE
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LCE
4 - 1
AUN
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PSN
0 - 4
KNO
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PSN
1 - 3
QUB
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PSN
2 - 1
ARC
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MOY
5 - 0
PSN
23%
22%
56%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -3 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PSN
2 - 2
BAL
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |