Lurgan Celtic vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LCE
1 - 0
WAK
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 0
LCE
19%
20%
61%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BMF
0 - 5
LCE
14%
19%
67%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LCE
9 - 0
COA
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 0
LCE
21%
21%
58%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
WAK
0 - 0
POR
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
BMF
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
AUN
3 - 1
POR
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COA
0 - 1
POR
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SYL
1 - 2
POR
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |