Lurgan Celtic vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
INS
3 - 0
LCE
29%
24%
46%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LCE
0 - 2
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LCE
2 - 1
KNO
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
LCE
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 1
LCE
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
LIS
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 3
HAR
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 0
LIS
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
WAR
5 - 1
LIS
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 7
LAR
30%
24%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |