Lurgan Celtic vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DER
3 - 2
LCE
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PSN
2 - 0
LCE
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LCE
3 - 3
LIM
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 2
LCE
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LCE
1 - 3
DER
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
INS
3 - 0
LAR
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
INS
2 - 2
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
HAR
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
KNO
0 - 1
INS
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |