Lurgan Celtic vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 0
LCE
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
KNO
4 - 2
LCE
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LCE
3 - 1
AUN
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 6
WAR
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DER
3 - 4
LCE
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 4
INS
38%
24%
39%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
LAR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
INS
33%
24%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
ARC
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AUN
2 - 2
INS
14%
19%
67%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |