Lurgan Celtic vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
LCE
49%
23%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LCE
4 - 3
INS
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 0
LCE
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
KNO
4 - 2
LCE
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LCE
3 - 1
AUN
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 3
BAL
12%
17%
71%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
AUN
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 1
BAL
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 0
LCE
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 0
HAR
39%
23%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |