Luqa St. Andrew's vs Xewkija Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luqa St. Andrew's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ORA
4 - 3
LUQ
4%
14%
82%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
KER
1 - 2
LUQ
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MSI
1 - 0
LUQ
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LUQ
0 - 2
VEN
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SEN
4 - 2
LUQ
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Xewkija Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
XEW
0 - 1
KIR
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LIJ
4 - 0
XEW
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MOS
3 - 1
XEW
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
XEW
3 - 0
SEN
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |