Lupa Roma vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
LRO
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LAQ
2 - 1
LRO
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LRO
1 - 1
PIS
14%
24%
61%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 0
LRO
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LRO
2 - 1
SAV
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
SPA
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 1
LAQ
39%
28%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TUT
0 - 2
ASL
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 1
TER
29%
28%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |