Lupa Frascati vs Civitavecchia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Frascati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
LUP
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LUP
2 - 2
CAS
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BUD
1 - 1
LUP
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LUP
1 - 0
SAN
49%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
LUP
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
0 - 2
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 1
CIV
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CIV
2 - 0
SOR
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
HYR
1 - 1
CIV
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 3
CIV
78%
14%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |