Lupa Cast Rom vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
LCR
1 - 1
VIT
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BUD
1 - 1
LCR
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 4
LCR
20%
21%
59%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LCR
3 - 1
CYN
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 3
LCR
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
SOR
0 - 0
SAN
20%
21%
59%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SOR
1 - 1
ARZ
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
OLB
2 - 0
SOR
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
NUO
3 - 0
SOR
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SOR
1 - 2
FON
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |