Lupa Cast Rom vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ACI
0 - 2
LCR
14%
19%
66%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LCR
1 - 1
NUO
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 4
LCR
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LCR
5 - 2
APR
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
OST
1 - 2
LCR
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FON
2 - 0
OLB
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
FON
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 1
FON
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FON
0 - 0
CYN
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
APR
3 - 1
FON
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |