Lupa Cast Rom vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ARZ
2 - 2
LRO
19%
22%
59%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BUD
1 - 2
ARZ
59%
22%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ARZ
2 - 1
MGD
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FON
3 - 2
ARZ
61%
21%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ARZ
0 - 2
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |