Lunds vs Oskarshamns AIK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
12º
3º
15
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 61 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 59 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 51 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 35 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 35% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 65% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 5
LBK
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LBK
1 - 0
TIK
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
JON
2 - 0
LBK
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
LBK
2 - 4
LIN
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FAL
3 - 0
LBK
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oskarshamns AIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 1
NOR
22%
23%
54%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 0
ANG
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
TIK
3 - 0
OSK
49%
23%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
OSK
1 - 0
HAL
11%
17%
72%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 1
OIF
10%
17%
73%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |