Luna vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LUN
1 - 1
AGR
72%
16%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 4
LUN
21%
19%
60%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LUN
2 - 2
PUY
72%
15%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LUN
2 - 1
UNC
79%
12%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
LUN
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
DEP
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BIO
2 - 0
BAR
58%
19%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
PIN
54%
20%
26%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UNC
1 - 2
BAR
22%
19%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 3
BAR
31%
22%
48%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |