Luna vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LUN
2 - 3
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
UNC
2 - 3
LUN
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LUN
1 - 0
ALE
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LUN
1 - 1
BIO
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 1
LUN
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
BOR
23%
20%
57%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 0
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
REM
0 - 1
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
PUY
36%
22%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
CAS
57%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |