Luna vs Alera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PUY
1 - 7
LUN
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UNC
0 - 3
LUN
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LUN
5 - 0
SAN
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LUN
2 - 1
BIO
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 5
LUN
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 4
SAN
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 0
ALE
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 3
BIO
36%
20%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PIN
3 - 0
ALE
40%
21%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 2
BAR
31%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |