Lumwana Radiants vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumwana Radiants
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
LUR
0 - 1
ZES
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
LUR
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
BFC
0 - 2
LUR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LUR
1 - 0
NKW
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
POW
3 - 1
LUR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
RED
0 - 0
ZAN
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
RED
3 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
RED
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
NKA
1 - 0
RED
59%
22%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
RED
1 - 1
NCH
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |