Luján vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
LUJ
3 - 0
JJU
39%
28%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 0
LUJ
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
LUJ
2 - 0
MID
37%
29%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 1
LUJ
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LUJ
3 - 0
CAD
32%
28%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
ITA
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
JJU
3 - 0
EXC
59%
25%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 1
SAC
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
MID
1 - 1
EXC
61%
24%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
CAM
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |