Luján vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CCO
0 - 2
LUJ
59%
24%
17%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
LUJ
53%
26%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LUJ
0 - 2
SAC
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
LAF
2 - 0
LUJ
61%
23%
16%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
JJU
3 - 0
LUJ
38%
28%
33%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
MER
4 - 1
CAM
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
SAC
1 - 3
MER
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
MER
3 - 1
LAF
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
JJU
1 - 0
MER
39%
26%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
DOC
2 - 2
MER
31%
27%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |