Luján vs Laferrere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 0
LUJ
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 1
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CCO
2 - 1
LUJ
29%
29%
43%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
LUJ
2 - 0
CCO
62%
24%
15%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
LUJ
1 - 1
BER
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
LAF
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
LAF
1 - 2
CCO
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
LAF
34%
29%
36%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
LAF
1 - 0
DOC
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LAF
2 - 1
ESP
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |