Luján vs Laferrere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
VSC
1 - 0
LUJ
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
LUJ
0 - 0
CAÑ
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SMA
0 - 3
LUJ
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LUJ
2 - 1
FEN
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
ARR
1 - 5
LUJ
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
LAF
2 - 0
DOC
66%
22%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
COL
1 - 1
LAF
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
LAF
2 - 1
BAR
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ARM
1 - 1
LAF
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
LAF
2 - 0
JJU
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |