Luján vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
49.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
LUJ
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUJ
3 - 1
BER
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DOC
0 - 0
LUJ
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LUJ
1 - 1
POR
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
LUJ
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
EXC
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SMG
2 - 0
ESP
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 0
ITA
46%
30%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JJU
1 - 4
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
SAC
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |