Luján vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
BER
0 - 1
LUJ
41%
28%
31%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
LUJ
1 - 1
MID
37%
28%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
LUJ
1 - 0
CAM
26%
28%
46%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
LUJ
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 0
CCO
47%
27%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 3
DEF
24%
29%
47%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 2
CAD
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 1
DOC
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
CAD
41%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 0
ITU
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |