Luján vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 1
LUJ
68%
21%
11%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LUJ
1 - 0
LAM
37%
28%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SMG
0 - 2
LUJ
78%
16%
6%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
LUJ
2 - 3
LAF
18%
27%
54%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
DOC
2 - 0
LUJ
75%
17%
8%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CAD
2 - 0
TAL
37%
27%
36%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAD
0 - 1
ARM
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LAM
0 - 0
CAD
40%
28%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 3
SMG
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
LAF
2 - 1
CAD
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |