Luján vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
TAL
0 - 0
LUJ
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LUJ
2 - 0
FEN
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LAM
0 - 1
LUJ
51%
27%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 0
LAF
27%
30%
43%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
UAI
1 - 0
LUJ
71%
20%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2013 |
GIM
3 - 0
CAD
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CAD
4 - 1
EXC
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SMG
2 - 1
CAD
32%
28%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
CAD
0 - 0
ITA
56%
26%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
JJU
0 - 2
CAD
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |