Luján vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ARR
1 - 1
LUJ
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LUJ
2 - 1
CAÑ
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
LUJ
0 - 2
BER
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
SAC
0 - 1
LUJ
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
LUJ
1 - 2
VSC
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CAD
0 - 0
BER
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAC
1 - 1
CAD
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CAD
0 - 2
VSC
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
FEN
0 - 2
CAD
34%
27%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CAD
1 - 2
EXC
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |