Luján vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
58%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 0
LUJ
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 3
CAD
33%
28%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
BER
0 - 1
LUJ
41%
28%
31%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
LUJ
1 - 1
MID
37%
28%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
LUJ
1 - 0
CAM
26%
28%
46%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
DOC
61%
25%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
JJU
68%
22%
10%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 3
DEF
24%
29%
47%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
BER
68%
23%
10%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
DEF
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |