Luján vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
ARM
0 - 1
LUJ
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
LUJ
3 - 0
JJU
32%
25%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2007 |
LUJ
3 - 1
ARR
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SMA
4 - 1
LUJ
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
LUJ
2 - 4
JJU
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 0
DOC
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
COL
0 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 1
LAM
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAC
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 1
VSC
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |