CD Lugo vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 0
RSO
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
OVI
2 - 2
LUG
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 1
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 3
COX
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RCF
3 - 0
LUG
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
VAD
2 - 0
ZAR
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 1
VAD
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
VAD
2 - 2
SDA
82%
14%
5%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
VAD
3 - 1
RAY
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 9
VAD
4%
15%
81%
|
81 | 27 | 54 | 0 |