CD Lugo vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CCF
1 - 0
LUG
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
GRA
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
CDT
3 - 1
LUG
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCB
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VAD
2 - 1
ALM
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
VAD
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VAD
1 - 1
RAY
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CCF
2 - 1
VAD
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
VAD
3 - 2
HUE
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |