CD Lugo vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CPC
1 - 0
LUG
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
CER
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 2
LUG
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
PON
2 - 3
LUG
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
EXT
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
UBC
1 - 2
GUA
45%
27%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LEG
0 - 0
UBC
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
UBC
1 - 0
ALC
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
UBC
1 - 1
ATB
48%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
GET
2 - 1
UBC
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |