CD Lugo vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
PON
0 - 2
LUG
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 1
MUR
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MLL
0 - 0
LUG
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 0
SAB
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
REC
3 - 3
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
SPO
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
SAB
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CCF
2 - 2
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 3
UDL
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 1
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |