CD Lugo vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
50.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CCF
1 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 1
UDL
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 2
RAC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
SPO
23%
28%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
NUM
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
MIR
70%
20%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
REC
1 - 1
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |