CD Lugo vs O Val analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
COX
2 - 0
LUG
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 0
NAR
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 1
LUG
20%
26%
54%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
3 - 0
ARO
76%
17%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
STA
1 - 2
LUG
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
O Val
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
OVA
0 - 4
CEL
27%
25%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
OVA
2 - 1
COX
23%
26%
51%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
NAR
5 - 0
OVA
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
OVA
2 - 2
VIL
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ARO
2 - 0
OVA
66%
20%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |