CD Lugo vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
LUG
80%
15%
5%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCB
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
LUG
79%
15%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
GIR
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
LUG
73%
19%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
RMC
4 - 0
RAC
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 0
RMC
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 4
NUM
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
RMC
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
RMC
0 - 1
REC
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |